Probability heatmap

Global country insights

Country metrics for January 14, 2026

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January 14, 2026

Click or tap a country to inspect probability and crowd mood.

FijiTanzaniaWestern SaharaCanadaUnited StatesKazakhstanUzbekistanPapua New GuineaIndonesiaArgentinaChileDR CongoSomaliaKenyaSudanChadHaitiDominican RepublicRussiaBahamasFalkland IslandsNorwayGreenlandFrench Southern and Antarctic LandsTimor-LesteSouth AfricaLesothoMexicoUruguayBrazilBoliviaPeruColombiaPanamaCosta RicaNicaraguaHondurasEl SalvadorGuatemalaBelizeVenezuelaGuyanaSurinameFranceEcuadorPuerto RicoJamaicaCubaZimbabweBotswanaNamibiaSenegalMaliMauritaniaBeninNigerNigeriaCameroonTogoGhanaCôte d’IvoireGuineaGuinea-BissauLiberiaSierra LeoneBurkina FasoCentral African RepublicRepublic of the CongoGabonEquatorial GuineaZambiaMalawiMozambiqueEswatiniAngolaBurundiIsraelLebanonMadagascarPalestineGambiaTunisiaAlgeriaJordanUnited Arab EmiratesQatarKuwaitIraqOmanVanuatuCambodiaThailandLaosMyanmarVietnamNorth KoreaSouth KoreaMongoliaIndiaBangladeshBhutanNepalPakistanAfghanistanTajikistanKyrgyzstanTurkmenistanIranSyriaArmeniaSwedenBelarusUkrainePolandAustriaHungaryMoldovaRomaniaLithuaniaLatviaEstoniaGermanyBulgariaGreeceTurkeyAlbaniaCroatiaSwitzerlandLuxembourgBelgiumNetherlandsPortugalSpainIrelandNew CaledoniaSolomon IslandsNew ZealandAustraliaSri LankaChinaTaiwanItalyDenmarkUnited KingdomIcelandAzerbaijanGeorgiaPhilippinesMalaysiaBruneiSloveniaFinlandSlovakiaCzechiaEritreaJapanParaguayYemenSaudi ArabiaN. CYPRUSCyprusMoroccoEgyptLibyaEthiopiaDjiboutiSOMALILANDUgandaRwandaBosnia and HerzegovinaNorth MacedoniaSerbiaMontenegroKOSOVOTrinidad and TobagoSouth Sudan
Lower probabilityHigher probability

Country focus

Andorra

Europe

Today’s probability
93.1%
AI-only baseline
93.1%
Local crowd mood
No submissions yet
Suffering: 5Happiness: 90Political stability: 95Economic stability: 90Military stability: 95

Probabilities blend AI metrics and daily crowd mood. Baseline shows the AI-only value.

Country-by-country ledger

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Country
AI probability
Baseline
Suffering
Happiness
Political
Economic
Military
Crowd mood
Population
Main religion

Vatican City

VAT · Europe

93.1%93.1%590959095

Switzerland

CHE · Europe

93.1%93.1%5909590958,900,000Christianity (pluralistic)

San Marino

SMR · Europe

93.1%93.1%590959095

Norway

NOR · Europe

93.1%93.1%5909590955,600,000Christianity (Lutheran)

Netherlands

NLD · Europe

93.1%93.1%59095909518,000,000Christianity (pluralistic)

Monaco

MCO · Europe

93.1%93.1%590959095

Luxembourg

LUX · Europe

93.1%93.1%590959095

Liechtenstein

LIE · Europe

93.1%93.1%590959095

Iceland

ISL · Europe

93.1%93.1%590959095400,000Christianity (Lutheran)

Finland

FIN · Europe

93.1%93.1%5909590955,600,000Christianity (Lutheran)

Denmark

DNK · Europe

93.1%93.1%5909590955,900,000Christianity (Lutheran)

Andorra

AND · Europe

93.1%93.1%590959095

United Arab Emirates

ARE · Asia

89.0%89.0%108590909010,000,000Islam

Singapore

SGP · Asia

89.0%89.0%10859090906,000,000Buddhism & Christianity

Qatar

QAT · Asia

89.0%89.0%10859090903,000,000Islam

Sweden

SWE · Europe

88.1%88.1%108590859010,700,000Christianity (Lutheran)

Svalbard and Jan Mayen

SJM · Europe

88.1%88.1%1085908590

Slovenia

SVN · Europe

88.1%88.1%10859085902,100,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Pitcairn Islands

PCN · Oceania

88.1%88.1%1085908590

New Zealand

NZL · Oceania

88.1%88.1%10859085905,200,000Christianity (pluralistic)

Jersey

JEY · Europe

88.1%88.1%1085908590

Isle of Man

IMN · Europe

88.1%88.1%1085908590

Guernsey

GGY · Europe

88.1%88.1%1085908590

Gibraltar

GIB · Europe

88.1%88.1%1085908590

Germany

DEU · Europe

88.1%88.1%108590859084,000,000Christianity (Lutheran & Catholic)

Faroe Islands

FRO · Europe

88.1%88.1%1085908590

Falkland Islands

FLK · Americas

88.1%88.1%1085908590

Estonia

EST · Europe

88.1%88.1%10859085901,300,000Secular & Christianity (Lutheran)

Cayman Islands

CYM · Americas

88.1%88.1%1085908590

Canada

CAN · North America

88.1%88.1%108590859040,500,000Christianity (pluralistic)

Bermuda

BMU · Americas

88.1%88.1%1085908590

Austria

AUT · Europe

88.1%88.1%10859085909,100,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Åland Islands

ALA · Europe

88.1%88.1%1085908590

Brunei

BRN · Asia

84.0%84.0%1580858585

Malta

MLT · Europe

83.1%83.1%1580858085520,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Lithuania

LTU · Europe

83.1%83.1%15808580852,800,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Japan

JPN · Asia

83.1%83.1%1580858085123,000,000Shinto & Buddhism

Ireland

IRL · Europe

83.1%83.1%15808580855,200,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Czechia

CZE · Europe

83.1%83.1%158085808510,900,000Secular & Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Belgium

BEL · Europe

83.1%83.1%158085808512,000,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Australia

AUS · Oceania

83.1%83.1%158085808527,000,000Christianity (pluralistic)

Wallis and Futuna

WLF · Oceania

82.1%82.1%1580857585

Turks and Caicos Islands

TCA · Americas

82.1%82.1%1580857585

Tokelau

TKL · Oceania

82.1%82.1%1580857585

Saint Pierre and Miquelon

SPM · Americas

82.1%82.1%1580857585

Saint Helena, Ascension and Tristan da Cunha

SHN · Africa

82.1%82.1%1580857585

Saint Barthélemy

BLM · Americas

82.1%82.1%1580857585

Norfolk Island

NFK · Oceania

82.1%82.1%1580857585

Niue

NIU · Oceania

82.1%82.1%1580857585

Montserrat

MSR · Americas

82.1%82.1%1580857585

Cook Islands

COK · Oceania

82.1%82.1%1580857585

Cocos (Keeling) Islands

CCK · Oceania

82.1%82.1%1580857585

Christmas Island

CXR · Oceania

82.1%82.1%1580857585

Caribbean Netherlands

BES · Americas

82.1%82.1%1580857585

British Virgin Islands

VGB · Americas

82.1%82.1%1580857585

Aruba

ABW · Americas

82.1%82.1%1580857585

Oman

OMN · Asia

79.0%79.0%20758080805,000,000Islam

Kuwait

KWT · Asia

79.0%79.0%20758080804,500,000Islam

United Kingdom

GBR · Europe

78.1%78.1%207580758068,000,000Christianity (Anglican)

Poland

POL · Europe

78.1%78.1%207580758041,000,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

France

FRA · Europe

78.1%78.1%207580758065,000,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Uruguay

URY · South America

77.1%77.1%20758070803,400,000Secular & Christianity

United States Virgin Islands

VIR · Americas

77.1%77.1%2075807080

Slovakia

SVK · Europe

77.1%77.1%20758070805,700,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Sint Maarten

SXM · Americas

77.1%77.1%2075807080

Seychelles

SYC · Africa

77.1%77.1%2075807080

Portugal

PRT · Europe

77.1%77.1%207580708010,400,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Northern Mariana Islands

MNP · Oceania

77.1%77.1%2075807080

Mauritius

MUS · Africa

77.1%77.1%2075807080

Macau

MAC · Asia

77.1%77.1%2075807080

Latvia

LVA · Europe

77.1%77.1%20758070801,900,000Christianity (Lutheran & Catholic)

Guam

GUM · Oceania

77.1%77.1%2075807080

Greenland

GRL · Americas

77.1%77.1%2075807080

French Polynesia

PYF · Oceania

77.1%77.1%2075807080

Curaçao

CUW · Americas

77.1%77.1%2075807080

Barbados

BRB · North America

77.1%77.1%2075807080280,000Christianity (Anglican)

Anguilla

AIA · Americas

77.1%77.1%2075807080

Angola

ANG · Africa

77.1%77.1%207580708035,000,000Christianity (pluralistic)

American Samoa

ASM · Oceania

77.1%77.1%2075807080

South Korea

KOR · Asia

76.7%76.7%207580807052,000,000Christianity & Buddhism

Bhutan

BTN · Asia

76.2%76.2%2075806580

Saudi Arabia

SAU · Asia

72.7%72.7%307075807036,000,000Islam

Spain

ESP · Europe

72.1%72.1%257075657548,000,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Saint Martin

MAF · Americas

72.1%72.1%2570756575

Saint Lucia

LCA · Americas

72.1%72.1%2570756575

Saint Kitts and Nevis

KNA · Americas

72.1%72.1%2570756575

Réunion

REU · Africa

72.1%72.1%2570756575

Mayotte

MYT · Africa

72.1%72.1%2570756575

Martinique

MTQ · Americas

72.1%72.1%2570756575

Italy

ITA · Europe

72.1%72.1%257075657559,000,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Guadeloupe

GLP · Americas

72.1%72.1%2570756575

Grenada

GRD · Americas

72.1%72.1%2570756575

French Guiana

GUF · Americas

72.1%72.1%2570756575

Croatia

HRV · Europe

72.1%72.1%25707565753,900,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Bahamas

BHS · North America

72.1%72.1%2570756575400,000Christianity (Protestant)

Antigua and Barbuda

ATG · Americas

72.1%72.1%2570756575

Botswana

BWA · Africa

71.1%71.1%30707565752,600,000Christianity (Protestant)

New Caledonia

NCL · Oceania

70.5%70.5%2570656575

Vanuatu

VUT · Oceania

70.1%70.1%3070756075

Tonga

TON · Oceania

70.1%70.1%3070756075

Samoa

WSM · Oceania

70.1%70.1%3070756075

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

VCT · Americas

70.1%70.1%3070756075

Romania

ROU · Europe

70.1%70.1%307075607519,000,000Christianity (Orthodox)

Greece

GRC · Europe

70.1%70.1%307075607510,300,000Christianity (Orthodox)

Fiji

FJI · Oceania

70.1%70.1%3070756075930,000Christianity (Methodist)

Dominica

DMA · Americas

70.1%70.1%3070756075

Costa Rica

CRI · North America

70.1%70.1%30707560755,200,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Cape Verde

CPV · Africa

70.1%70.1%3070756075

United States

USA · North America

69.3%69.3%3070607570341,000,000Christianity (pluralistic)

Hungary

HUN · Europe

67.3%67.3%30706560709,600,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Namibia

NAM · Africa

66.1%66.1%35657060702,600,000Christianity (Lutheran)

Maldives

MDV · Asia

66.1%66.1%3070656065

Bahrain

BHR · Asia

65.1%65.1%35656070651,500,000Islam

Cyprus

CYP · Europe

64.9%64.9%30706560601,300,000Christianity (Orthodox)

Chile

CHL · South America

64.4%64.4%356560607020,000,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Malaysia

MYS · Asia

63.2%63.2%356560606534,000,000Islam

Bulgaria

BGR · Europe

62.3%62.3%35656055656,800,000Christianity (Orthodox)

Vietnam

VNM · Asia

62.0%62.0%406065606599,000,000Buddhism & Folk

China

CHN · Asia

61.9%61.9%50507070701,410,000,000Folk Religions & Buddhism

North Macedonia

MKD · Europe

61.3%61.3%3565605065

Montenegro

MNE · Europe

61.3%61.3%3565605065

Albania

ALB · Europe

61.2%61.2%4065605565

Panama

PAN · North America

61.1%61.1%40606555654,500,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Puerto Rico

PRI · Americas

60.1%60.1%4060655065

Belize

BLZ · Americas

60.0%60.0%4560655565

Morocco

MAR · Africa

59.9%59.9%406065556037,000,000Islam

Taiwan

TWN · Asia

59.9%59.9%3070757520

Guyana

GUY · Americas

57.7%57.7%4060556550

Indonesia

IDN · Asia

57.0%57.0%4555605560279,000,000Islam

Thailand

THA · Asia

56.2%56.2%406050555571,000,000Buddhism

Paraguay

PRY · South America

56.1%56.1%45556050607,500,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Mongolia

MNG · Asia

56.1%56.1%45556050603,400,000Buddhism & Folk

Dominican Republic

DOM · North America

56.1%56.1%455560506011,500,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

India

IND · Asia

56.0%56.0%50506060601,430,000,000Hinduism

Kazakhstan

KAZ · Asia

55.1%55.1%455550605519,000,000Islam & Christianity

Ghana

GHA · Africa

55.1%55.1%455560456034,000,000Christianity (Pentecostal)

Algeria

DZA · Africa

52.1%52.1%505550505546,000,000Islam

Uzbekistan

UZB · Asia

52.0%52.0%505055505536,000,000Islam

Côte d’Ivoire

CIV · Africa

52.0%52.0%505055505529,000,000Christianity & Islam

Senegal

SEN · Africa

51.1%51.1%505055455518,000,000Islam

Trinidad and Tobago

TTO · North America

50.8%50.8%50505550501,400,000Christianity & Hinduism

United States Minor Outlying Islands

UMI · Americas

50.0%50.0%5050505050

South Georgia

SGS · Antarctic

50.0%50.0%5050505050

Heard Island and McDonald Islands

HMD · Antarctic

50.0%50.0%5050505050

French Southern and Antarctic Lands

ATF · Antarctic

50.0%50.0%5050505050

British Indian Ocean Territory

IOT · Africa

50.0%50.0%5050505050

Bouvet Island

BVT · Antarctic

50.0%50.0%5050505050

Antarctica

ATA · Antarctic

50.0%50.0%5050505050

Hong Kong

HKG · Asia

48.6%48.6%6040406060

El Salvador

SLV · North America

47.4%47.4%50504045506,500,000Christianity (Roman Catholic & Evangelical)

Philippines

PHL · Asia

46.8%46.8%5545505045118,000,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Tanzania

TZA · Africa

46.1%46.1%554550405068,000,000Christianity & Islam

Gambia

GMB · Africa

46.1%46.1%55455040502,700,000Islam

Djibouti

DJI · Africa

45.2%45.2%6040504055

Rwanda

RWA · Africa

45.0%45.0%604050455014,000,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Kenya

KEN · Africa

44.9%44.9%554550404557,000,000Christianity (Protestant)

Jamaica

JAM · North America

44.9%44.9%55455040452,900,000Christianity (Protestant)

Benin

BEN · Africa

44.9%44.9%554550404513,000,000Christianity & Folk

Laos

LAO · Asia

43.2%43.2%60404540507,600,000Buddhism

Cambodia

KHM · Asia

43.2%43.2%604045405017,000,000Buddhism

Bangladesh

BGD · Asia

43.2%43.2%6040454050173,000,000Islam

Angola

AGO · Africa

43.2%43.2%6040454050

Azerbaijan

AZE · Asia

43.1%43.1%604050603010,200,000Islam

Tuvalu

TUV · Oceania

42.3%42.3%6040453550

Timor-Leste

TLS · Asia

42.3%42.3%6040453550

São Tomé and Príncipe

STP · Africa

42.3%42.3%6040453550

Palau

PLW · Oceania

42.3%42.3%6040453550

Nauru

NRU · Oceania

42.3%42.3%6040453550

Micronesia

FSM · Oceania

42.3%42.3%6040453550

Marshall Islands

MHL · Oceania

42.3%42.3%6040453550

Kiribati

KIR · Oceania

42.3%42.3%6040453550

Colombia

COL · South America

42.0%42.0%604045404552,000,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Bolivia

BOL · South America

41.8%41.8%604035355512,000,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Peru

PER · South America

41.5%41.5%604035405034,000,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Nepal

NPL · Asia

41.4%41.4%604040355030,000,000Hinduism

Brazil

BRA · South America

40.4%40.4%6535404050215,000,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Gabon

GAB · Africa

40.1%40.1%60403545402,400,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Turkey

TUR · Asia / Europe

39.9%39.9%604045354086,000,000Islam

Georgia

GEO · Asia

39.8%39.8%60404045353,700,000Christianity (Orthodox)

Bosnia and Herzegovina

BIH · Europe

39.2%39.2%6535303060

Mexico

MEX · North America

37.7%37.7%6535404535128,000,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Jordan

JOR · Asia

37.3%37.3%653540304511,000,000Islam

Serbia

SRB · Europe

36.8%36.8%60403540306,600,000Christianity (Orthodox)

Argentina

ARG · South America

36.2%36.2%703530206046,000,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Zambia

ZMB · Africa

36.1%36.1%653540304020,000,000Christianity (Protestant)

Solomon Islands

SLB · Oceania

33.2%33.2%6535303035

Moldova

MDA · Europe

33.2%33.2%6535303035

Kyrgyzstan

KGZ · Asia

33.2%33.2%65353030357,000,000Islam

Suriname

SUR · Americas

32.3%32.3%6535302535

Egypt

EGY · Africa

32.3%32.3%7030352540111,000,000Islam

South Africa

ZAF · Africa

32.0%32.0%703035303561,000,000Christianity (pluralistic)

Republic of the Congo

COG · Africa

32.0%32.0%7030353035

Honduras

HND · North America

32.0%32.0%703035303510,700,000Christianity (Roman Catholic & Evangelical)

Guatemala

GTM · North America

32.0%32.0%703035303518,000,000Christianity (Roman Catholic & Evangelical)

Uganda

UGA · Africa

31.1%31.1%703035253548,000,000Christianity (Pentecostal & Catholic)

Tunisia

TUN · Africa

31.1%31.1%703035253512,000,000Islam

Togo

TGO · Africa

31.1%31.1%70303525359,000,000Christianity & Indigenous

Tajikistan

TJK · Asia

31.1%31.1%703035253510,000,000Islam

Sri Lanka

LKA · Asia

31.1%31.1%703035253522,000,000Buddhism

Sierra Leone

SLE · Africa

31.1%31.1%70303525358,000,000Islam & Christianity

Liberia

LBR · Africa

31.1%31.1%70303525355,300,000Christianity (Protestant)

Belarus

BLR · Europe

30.4%30.4%7030253035

Eswatini

SWZ · Africa

30.2%30.2%70303025351,200,000Christianity (Protestant)

Comoros

COM · Africa

30.2%30.2%7030302535

Mauritania

MRT · Africa

29.9%29.9%70303525305,000,000Islam

Mozambique

MOZ · Africa

25.8%25.8%752530252534,000,000Christianity (Catholic) & Islam

Kosovo

UNK · Europe

25.8%25.8%7030252520

Papua New Guinea

PNG · Oceania

25.0%25.0%75252525259,500,000Christianity (Protestant)

Cameroon

CMR · Africa

25.0%25.0%752525252528,000,000Christianity & Islam

Equatorial Guinea

GNQ · Africa

24.3%24.3%80202030301,700,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Armenia

ARM · Asia

23.7%23.7%80252530203,000,000Christianity (Armenian Apostolic)

Ecuador

ECU · South America

23.0%23.0%752520252018,000,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Ethiopia

ETH · Africa

22.0%22.0%8020252025126,000,000Christianity (Orthodox) & Islam

Nigeria

NGA · Africa

21.8%21.8%8020252520227,000,000Islam & Christianity

Russia

RUS · Europe / Asia

21.4%21.4%8020302515144,000,000Christianity (Orthodox)

Guinea

GIN · Africa

21.2%21.2%802020202514,000,000Islam

Malawi

MWI · Africa

21.1%21.1%802025152521,000,000Christianity (Protestant)

Iraq

IRQ · Asia

21.0%21.0%802020252044,000,000Islam

Nicaragua

NIC · North America

20.2%20.2%80202015256,800,000Christianity (Roman Catholic & Evangelical)

Madagascar

MDG · Africa

20.2%20.2%8020201525

Lesotho

LSO · Africa

20.2%20.2%80202015252,300,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Turkmenistan

TKM · Asia

19.2%19.2%85152020256,400,000Islam

Pakistan

PAK · Asia

19.0%19.0%8020201520243,000,000Islam

Cuba

CUB · North America

18.5%18.5%851520103011,000,000Christianity (Roman Catholic) & Secular

Burundi

BDI · Africa

18.2%18.2%851520152513,000,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Zimbabwe

ZWE · Africa

17.3%17.3%851520102516,000,000Christianity (Protestant & Catholic)

Iran

IRN · Asia

17.0%17.0%851520152088,000,000Islam

Guinea-Bissau

GNB · Africa

16.2%16.2%8515151520

Western Sahara

ESH · Africa

15.8%15.8%8020151510

Eritrea

ERI · Africa

11.2%11.2%90101010153,700,000Christianity (Orthodox) & Islam

Israel

ISR · Middle East

10.7%10.7%9010102059,800,000Judaism

Venezuela

VEN · South America

10.2%10.2%90101051528,000,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Niger

NER · Africa

10.0%10.0%901010101026,000,000Islam

Mali

MLI · Africa

10.0%10.0%901010101023,000,000Islam

Libya

LBY · Africa

10.0%10.0%9010101010

Chad

TCD · Africa

10.0%10.0%901010101018,000,000Islam & Christianity

Burkina Faso

BFA · Africa

10.0%10.0%9010101010

Lebanon

LBN · Asia

9.0%9.0%9010105105,600,000Islam & Christianity

North Korea

PRK · Asia

8.2%8.2%95510515

Afghanistan

AFG · Asia

8.2%8.2%9551051541,000,000Islam

Yemen

YEM · Asia

5.0%5.0%95555534,000,000Islam

Ukraine

UKR · Europe

5.0%5.0%95555537,000,000Christianity (Orthodox)

Syria

SYR · Asia

5.0%5.0%95555522,000,000Islam

Sudan

SDN · Africa

5.0%5.0%95555549,000,000Islam

South Sudan

SSD · Africa

5.0%5.0%95555511,000,000Christianity & Folk

Somalia

SOM · Africa

5.0%5.0%95555518,000,000Islam

Palestine

PSE · Asia

5.0%5.0%955555

Myanmar

MMR · Asia

5.0%5.0%95555555,000,000Buddhism

Haiti

HTI · North America

5.0%5.0%95555511,700,000Christianity (Roman Catholic) & Vodou

DR Congo

COD · Africa

5.0%5.0%955555

Central African Republic

CAF · Africa

5.0%5.0%9555555,500,000Christianity (Protestant & Catholic)