Probability heatmap

Global country insights

Country metrics for August 28, 2026

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August 28, 2026

Click or tap a country to inspect probability and crowd mood.

FijiTanzaniaWestern SaharaCanadaUnited StatesKazakhstanUzbekistanPapua New GuineaIndonesiaArgentinaChileDR CongoSomaliaKenyaSudanChadHaitiDominican RepublicRussiaBahamasFalkland IslandsNorwayGreenlandFrench Southern and Antarctic LandsTimor-LesteSouth AfricaLesothoMexicoUruguayBrazilBoliviaPeruColombiaPanamaCosta RicaNicaraguaHondurasEl SalvadorGuatemalaBelizeVenezuelaGuyanaSurinameFranceEcuadorPuerto RicoJamaicaCubaZimbabweBotswanaNamibiaSenegalMaliMauritaniaBeninNigerNigeriaCameroonTogoGhanaCôte d’IvoireGuineaGuinea-BissauLiberiaSierra LeoneBurkina FasoCentral African RepublicRepublic of the CongoGabonEquatorial GuineaZambiaMalawiMozambiqueEswatiniAngolaBurundiIsraelLebanonMadagascarPalestineGambiaTunisiaAlgeriaJordanUnited Arab EmiratesQatarKuwaitIraqOmanVanuatuCambodiaThailandLaosMyanmarVietnamNorth KoreaSouth KoreaMongoliaIndiaBangladeshBhutanNepalPakistanAfghanistanTajikistanKyrgyzstanTurkmenistanIranSyriaArmeniaSwedenBelarusUkrainePolandAustriaHungaryMoldovaRomaniaLithuaniaLatviaEstoniaGermanyBulgariaGreeceTurkeyAlbaniaCroatiaSwitzerlandLuxembourgBelgiumNetherlandsPortugalSpainIrelandNew CaledoniaSolomon IslandsNew ZealandAustraliaSri LankaChinaTaiwanItalyDenmarkUnited KingdomIcelandAzerbaijanGeorgiaPhilippinesMalaysiaBruneiSloveniaFinlandSlovakiaCzechiaEritreaJapanParaguayYemenSaudi ArabiaN. CYPRUSCyprusMoroccoEgyptLibyaEthiopiaDjiboutiSOMALILANDUgandaRwandaBosnia and HerzegovinaNorth MacedoniaSerbiaMontenegroKOSOVOTrinidad and TobagoSouth Sudan
Lower probabilityHigher probability

Country focus

Antarctica

Antarctic

Today’s probability
92.8%
AI-only baseline
92.8%
Local crowd mood
No submissions yet
Suffering: 5Happiness: 80Political stability: 99Economic stability: 90Military stability: 99

Probabilities blend AI metrics and daily crowd mood. Baseline shows the AI-only value.

Country focus

Antarctica

Country-by-country ledger

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Country
AI probability
Baseline
Suffering
Happiness
Political
Economic
Military
Crowd mood
Population
Main religion

Bouvet Island

BVT · Antarctic

92.8%92.8%580999099

Antarctica

ATA · Antarctic

92.8%92.8%580999099

Liechtenstein

LIE · Europe

92.1%92.1%685969095

South Georgia

SGS · Antarctic

91.9%91.9%575999099

Heard Island and McDonald Islands

HMD · Antarctic

91.9%91.9%575999099

Monaco

MCO · Europe

91.7%91.7%684959095

Vatican City

VAT · Europe

90.2%90.2%580958595

Andorra

AND · Europe

90.2%90.2%883958595

San Marino

SMR · Europe

89.8%89.8%682958295

United States Minor Outlying Islands

UMI · Americas

89.3%89.3%575958595

French Southern and Antarctic Lands

ATF · Antarctic

89.3%89.3%575958595

Switzerland

CHE · Europe

88.8%88.8%8849288888,900,000Christianity (pluralistic)

Luxembourg

LUX · Europe

88.4%88.4%882928888

Denmark

DNK · Europe

88.4%88.4%8849286885,900,000Christianity (Lutheran)

Åland Islands

ALA · Europe

88.3%88.3%882928590

Jersey

JEY · Europe

87.9%87.9%880928590

Isle of Man

IMN · Europe

87.9%87.9%880928590

Guernsey

GGY · Europe

87.9%87.9%880928590

Iceland

ISL · Europe

87.6%87.6%884928288400,000Christianity (Lutheran)

Faroe Islands

FRO · Europe

87.6%87.6%882928488

Norway

NOR · Europe

87.5%87.5%8849285855,600,000Christianity (Lutheran)

Saint Barthélemy

BLM · Americas

87.3%87.3%880928290

Pitcairn Islands

PCN · Oceania

87.3%87.3%878957595

Svalbard and Jan Mayen

SJM · Europe

86.9%86.9%880928288

Saint Pierre and Miquelon

SPM · Americas

86.6%86.6%878928090

Bermuda

BMU · Americas

86.6%86.6%1080908290

Cayman Islands

CYM · Americas

86.2%86.2%1078908290

Singapore

SGP · Asia

85.6%85.6%10789085856,000,000Buddhism & Christianity

Finland

FIN · Europe

85.6%85.6%8859082805,600,000Christianity (Lutheran)

Norfolk Island

NFK · Oceania

85.4%85.4%1078907890

Cocos (Keeling) Islands

CCK · Oceania

85.2%85.2%1075908090

Christmas Island

CXR · Oceania

85.2%85.2%1075908090

Anguilla

AIA · Americas

85.0%85.0%1278907890

Gibraltar

GIB · Europe

84.7%84.7%1078888285

Aruba

ABW · Americas

84.7%84.7%1278887890

Netherlands

NLD · Europe

84.5%84.5%108285808518,000,000Christianity (pluralistic)

Cook Islands

COK · Oceania

84.4%84.4%1278907590

British Virgin Islands

VGB · Americas

83.8%83.8%1276887888

Qatar

QAT · Asia

83.7%83.7%12768885823,000,000Islam

Sweden

SWE · Europe

83.5%83.5%108088808010,700,000Christianity (Lutheran)

Saint Martin

MAF · Americas

83.2%83.2%1276887588

Austria

AUT · Europe

83.2%83.2%12798578859,100,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Falkland Islands

FLK · Americas

83.1%83.1%1078888080

Ireland

IRL · Europe

83.0%83.0%12788578855,200,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Niue

NIU · Oceania

82.9%82.9%1275907090

United Arab Emirates

ARE · Asia

82.7%82.7%127688828010,000,000Islam

New Zealand

NZL · Oceania

82.4%82.4%12788575855,200,000Christianity (pluralistic)

Tokelau

TKL · Oceania

82.0%82.0%1275906590

Saint Helena, Ascension and Tristan da Cunha

SHN · Africa

82.0%82.0%1272906890

Barbados

BRB · North America

81.8%81.8%1575887288280,000Christianity (Anglican)

Malta

MLT · Europe

81.8%81.8%1474857885520,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Australia

AUS · Oceania

81.7%81.7%147882768527,000,000Christianity (pluralistic)

Caribbean Netherlands

BES · Americas

81.4%81.4%1475857585

Slovenia

SVN · Europe

81.3%81.3%12758576822,100,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Palau

PLW · Oceania

81.3%81.3%1574887088

Macau

MAC · Asia

81.2%81.2%1572857885

Brunei

BRN · Asia

81.2%81.2%1572857885

United States Virgin Islands

VIR · Americas

81.0%81.0%1574857585

Sint Maarten

SXM · Americas

81.0%81.0%1574857585

Montserrat

MSR · Americas

80.9%80.9%1572887088

Northern Mariana Islands

MNP · Oceania

80.6%80.6%1572857585

Wallis and Futuna

WLF · Oceania

80.5%80.5%1572886888

Turks and Caicos Islands

TCA · Americas

80.4%80.4%1574857285

American Samoa

ASM · Oceania

80.2%80.2%1575857085

Uruguay

URY · South America

80.2%80.2%16748572853,400,000Secular & Christianity

Seychelles

SYC · Africa

80.2%80.2%1674857285

Saint Kitts and Nevis

KNA · Americas

80.0%80.0%1574857085

British Indian Ocean Territory

IOT · Africa

79.9%79.9%1070858075

Japan

JPN · Asia

79.8%79.8%1474857480123,000,000Shinto & Buddhism

Guam

GUM · Oceania

79.8%79.8%1574857580

Costa Rica

CRI · North America

79.6%79.6%18768268885,200,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

French Polynesia

PYF · Oceania

79.5%79.5%1574827085

Czechia

CZE · Europe

79.2%79.2%157282748210,900,000Secular & Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Kuwait

KWT · Asia

79.2%79.2%15728078804,500,000Islam

Saint Lucia

LCA · Americas

79.1%79.1%1672856885

Belgium

BEL · Europe

78.9%78.9%157478748212,000,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Canada

CAN · North America

78.9%78.9%167580728240,500,000Christianity (pluralistic)

Antigua and Barbuda

ATG · Americas

78.6%78.6%1872856885

Greenland

GRL · Americas

78.6%78.6%1870857085

Portugal

PRT · Europe

78.2%78.2%167282708210,400,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Bahamas

BHS · North America

78.1%78.1%1872826885400,000Christianity (Protestant)

Réunion

REU · Africa

78.1%78.1%1870827085

Martinique

MTQ · Americas

78.1%78.1%1870827085

Grenada

GRD · Americas

78.1%78.1%1872856585

Mauritius

MUS · Africa

77.8%77.8%1872827082

Curaçao

CUW · Americas

77.8%77.8%1870807085

Samoa

WSM · Oceania

77.5%77.5%1872856285

Oman

OMN · Asia

77.3%77.3%18708272805,000,000Islam

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

VCT · Americas

77.2%77.2%1870826585

Germany

DEU · Europe

77.1%77.1%167278708084,000,000Christianity (Lutheran & Catholic)

Spain

ESP · Europe

76.8%76.8%187278688248,000,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Micronesia

FSM · Oceania

76.3%76.3%2070856085

Dominica

DMA · Americas

76.2%76.2%2070826285

Bhutan

BTN · Asia

76.1%76.1%2075856080

Guadeloupe

GLP · Americas

75.9%75.9%2068806882

Estonia

EST · Europe

75.6%75.6%15728072701,300,000Secular & Christianity (Lutheran)

Cape Verde

CPV · Africa

75.5%75.5%2268856085

United Kingdom

GBR · Europe

75.4%75.4%187075688068,000,000Christianity (Anglican)

Poland

POL · Europe

75.2%75.2%167078727241,000,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Tonga

TON · Oceania

74.7%74.7%2070825882

Croatia

HRV · Europe

74.7%74.7%20667868803,900,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Lithuania

LTU · Europe

74.3%74.3%16707870702,800,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Saudi Arabia

SAU · Asia

74.1%74.1%226878757236,000,000Islam

Slovakia

SVK · Europe

74.0%74.0%18687268785,700,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Marshall Islands

MHL · Oceania

73.9%73.9%2268825882

Panama

PAN · North America

73.7%73.7%24687568804,500,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Malaysia

MYS · Asia

73.7%73.7%226875687834,000,000Islam

French Guiana

GUF · Americas

73.5%73.5%2265786580

Vanuatu

VUT · Oceania

73.5%73.5%2270805880

Puerto Rico

PRI · Americas

73.4%73.4%2568786282

Tuvalu

TUV · Oceania

73.3%73.3%2268825582

France

FRA · Europe

73.3%73.3%206870687865,000,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Latvia

LVA · Europe

73.1%73.1%18687868701,900,000Christianity (Lutheran & Catholic)

Taiwan

TWN · Asia

73.1%73.1%1672757462

Fiji

FJI · Oceania

73.0%73.0%2270756080930,000Christianity (Methodist)

Italy

ITA · Europe

73.0%73.0%206872628059,000,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Cyprus

CYP · Europe

72.6%72.6%20687570701,300,000Christianity (Orthodox)

Botswana

BWA · Africa

72.6%72.6%28658065802,600,000Christianity (Protestant)

South Korea

KOR · Asia

72.5%72.5%186875706852,000,000Christianity & Buddhism

Chile

CHL · South America

72.5%72.5%246872648020,000,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Vietnam

VNM · Asia

72.5%72.5%256678687599,000,000Buddhism & Folk

United States

USA · North America

72.4%72.4%2268657078341,000,000Christianity (pluralistic)

Bahrain

BHR · Asia

72.1%72.1%25657570751,500,000Islam

Kiribati

KIR · Oceania

71.9%71.9%2568805580

Romania

ROU · Europe

71.5%71.5%226475647519,000,000Christianity (Orthodox)

China

CHN · Asia

71.0%71.0%28627868751,410,000,000Folk Religions & Buddhism

Nauru

NRU · Oceania

70.7%70.7%2565805280

Hong Kong

HKG · Asia

70.7%70.7%2560707275

Belize

BLZ · Americas

69.9%69.9%2865755878

Guyana

GUY · Americas

69.9%69.9%2865688065

Hungary

HUN · Europe

69.8%69.8%22627260759,600,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Dominican Republic

DOM · North America

69.8%69.8%306572627811,500,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Mayotte

MYT · Africa

69.4%69.4%3060756080

Namibia

NAM · Africa

69.0%69.0%32627858782,600,000Christianity (Lutheran)

Trinidad and Tobago

TTO · North America

68.5%68.5%28627260751,400,000Christianity & Hinduism

Mongolia

MNG · Asia

68.3%68.3%28607558753,400,000Buddhism & Folk

Greece

GRC · Europe

68.2%68.2%266072587510,300,000Christianity (Orthodox)

Maldives

MDV · Asia

68.1%68.1%2568685275

Indonesia

IDN · Asia

67.9%67.9%3265726272279,000,000Islam

Paraguay

PRY · South America

67.8%67.8%30647058757,500,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Montenegro

MNE · Europe

67.4%67.4%2562685872

Kazakhstan

KAZ · Asia

66.9%66.9%286270626819,000,000Islam & Christianity

Jamaica

JAM · North America

66.2%66.2%32627058722,900,000Christianity (Protestant)

El Salvador

SLV · North America

66.2%66.2%32647052756,500,000Christianity (Roman Catholic & Evangelical)

Thailand

THA · Asia

66.1%66.1%286262607271,000,000Buddhism

Morocco

MAR · Africa

65.7%65.7%326072587037,000,000Islam

Albania

ALB · Europe

65.6%65.6%2858655575

Suriname

SUR · Americas

65.4%65.4%3260705275

São Tomé and Príncipe

STP · Africa

65.0%65.0%3858754880

Uzbekistan

UZB · Asia

64.9%64.9%326070586836,000,000Islam

Bulgaria

BGR · Europe

64.8%64.8%28556058756,800,000Christianity (Orthodox)

India

IND · Asia

64.5%64.5%38586864701,430,000,000Hinduism

North Macedonia

MKD · Europe

64.4%64.4%2858655272

Brazil

BRA · South America

64.1%64.1%3864625575215,000,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Timor-Leste

TLS · Asia

64.0%64.0%3560704875

Azerbaijan

AZE · Asia

63.4%63.4%355570626510,200,000Islam

New Caledonia

NCL · Oceania

63.3%63.3%3058556070

Serbia

SRB · Europe

62.8%62.8%28586255656,600,000Christianity (Orthodox)

Senegal

SEN · Africa

62.2%62.2%385868527018,000,000Islam

Ghana

GHA · Africa

62.2%62.2%385870507034,000,000Christianity (Pentecostal)

Solomon Islands

SLB · Oceania

62.0%62.0%3560654870

Cambodia

KHM · Asia

61.2%61.2%385565527017,000,000Buddhism

Philippines

PHL · Asia

60.8%60.8%3862625860118,000,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Rwanda

RWA · Africa

60.4%60.4%455272556814,000,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Tanzania

TZA · Africa

60.2%60.2%455568527068,000,000Christianity & Islam

Côte d’Ivoire

CIV · Africa

59.8%59.8%425562586529,000,000Christianity & Islam

Gambia

GMB · Africa

59.1%59.1%42556548682,700,000Islam

Nepal

NPL · Asia

57.7%57.7%385555456830,000,000Hinduism

Zambia

ZMB · Africa

57.6%57.6%485268457020,000,000Christianity (Protestant)

Kyrgyzstan

KGZ · Asia

57.5%57.5%35555848607,000,000Islam

Kosovo

UNK · Europe

57.0%57.0%3555554860

Laos

LAO · Asia

57.0%57.0%42526540687,600,000Buddhism

Turkmenistan

TKM · Asia

56.4%56.4%48457050656,400,000Islam

Mexico

MEX · North America

56.4%56.4%4262555850128,000,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Peru

PER · South America

56.3%56.3%425548526534,000,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

South Africa

ZAF · Africa

56.1%56.1%455258456861,000,000Christianity (pluralistic)

Turkey

TUR · Asia / Europe

55.5%55.5%425258426586,000,000Islam

Sri Lanka

LKA · Asia

55.5%55.5%425258426522,000,000Buddhism

Georgia

GEO · Asia

55.1%55.1%38525055553,700,000Christianity (Orthodox)

Tajikistan

TJK · Asia

55.0%55.0%425262455810,000,000Islam

Jordan

JOR · Asia

55.0%55.0%405260485511,000,000Islam

Algeria

DZA · Africa

54.9%54.9%425255486046,000,000Islam

Bosnia and Herzegovina

BIH · Europe

54.8%54.8%3552454860

Guatemala

GTM · North America

54.5%54.5%455652486018,000,000Christianity (Roman Catholic & Evangelical)

Argentina

ARG · South America

54.5%54.5%485550357546,000,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Uganda

UGA · Africa

54.1%54.1%485258486048,000,000Christianity (Pentecostal & Catholic)

Honduras

HND · North America

52.6%52.6%465450455810,700,000Christianity (Roman Catholic & Evangelical)

Colombia

COL · South America

52.5%52.5%455852485052,000,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Moldova

MDA · Europe

52.3%52.3%3852524550

Benin

BEN · Africa

52.2%52.2%484858485513,000,000Christianity & Folk

Lesotho

LSO · Africa

52.0%52.0%52455842652,300,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Tunisia

TUN · Africa

51.6%51.6%454850406212,000,000Islam

Gabon

GAB · Africa

51.5%51.5%45485048552,400,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Kenya

KEN · Africa

51.4%51.4%485252455557,000,000Christianity (Protestant)

Togo

TGO · Africa

51.3%51.3%50485842589,000,000Christianity & Indigenous

Eswatini

SWZ · Africa

51.3%51.3%50485542601,200,000Christianity (Protestant)

Djibouti

DJI · Africa

51.1%51.1%4848554555

Nicaragua

NIC · North America

50.9%50.9%50485540606,800,000Christianity (Roman Catholic & Evangelical)

Bolivia

BOL · South America

50.7%50.7%455245386012,000,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Equatorial Guinea

GNQ · Africa

50.1%50.1%55406045601,700,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Egypt

EGY · Africa

50.0%50.0%5045553860111,000,000Islam

Russia

RUS · Europe / Asia

49.1%49.1%4838685240144,000,000Christianity (Orthodox)

Angola

ANG · Africa

49.1%49.1%554250406535,000,000Christianity (pluralistic)

Angola

AGO · Africa

49.1%49.1%5542504065

Mauritania

MRT · Africa

48.7%48.7%52455540555,000,000Islam

Belarus

BLR · Europe

48.5%48.5%4838654545

Comoros

COM · Africa

48.1%48.1%5245503560

Bangladesh

BGD · Asia

47.5%47.5%5245424555173,000,000Islam

Liberia

LBR · Africa

47.2%47.2%58425538585,300,000Christianity (Protestant)

Armenia

ARM · Asia

47.1%47.1%45484548403,000,000Christianity (Armenian Apostolic)

Malawi

MWI · Africa

47.0%47.0%624058326521,000,000Christianity (Protestant)

Israel

ISR · Middle East

46.8%46.8%55454558429,800,000Judaism

Sierra Leone

SLE · Africa

46.7%46.7%60425535608,000,000Islam & Christianity

Republic of the Congo

COG · Africa

46.4%46.4%5842524055

Papua New Guinea

PNG · Oceania

46.1%46.1%55454842509,500,000Christianity (Protestant)

Ecuador

ECU · South America

44.8%44.8%524840424518,000,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Iraq

IRQ · Asia

42.1%42.1%584242454044,000,000Islam

Nigeria

NGA · Africa

41.7%41.7%6245423845227,000,000Islam & Christianity

Libya

LBY · Africa

41.4%41.4%5840404540

Zimbabwe

ZWE · Africa

41.2%41.2%623848255516,000,000Christianity (Protestant & Catholic)

North Korea

PRK · Asia

41.0%41.0%7520752065

Guinea-Bissau

GNB · Africa

40.4%40.4%6238423250

Venezuela

VEN · South America

40.1%40.1%623845285028,000,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Cuba

CUB · North America

40.0%40.0%653250206011,000,000Christianity (Roman Catholic) & Secular

Madagascar

MDG · Africa

40.0%40.0%6835482855

Guinea

GIN · Africa

39.9%39.9%603840354514,000,000Islam

Pakistan

PAK · Asia

39.7%39.7%6042383245243,000,000Islam

Iran

IRN · Asia

39.1%39.1%623545324588,000,000Islam

Cameroon

CMR · Africa

38.4%38.4%623840423528,000,000Christianity & Islam

Mozambique

MOZ · Africa

37.5%37.5%653842353834,000,000Christianity (Catholic) & Islam

Eritrea

ERI · Africa

36.0%36.0%72255522503,700,000Christianity (Orthodox) & Islam

Western Sahara

ESH · Africa

36.0%36.0%6035403035

Ethiopia

ETH · Africa

30.8%30.8%7030353030126,000,000Christianity (Orthodox) & Islam

Ukraine

UKR · Europe

29.6%29.6%782252322537,000,000Christianity (Orthodox)

Burundi

BDI · Africa

29.3%29.3%752535204013,000,000Christianity (Roman Catholic)

Chad

TCD · Africa

23.7%23.7%782230202518,000,000Islam & Christianity

Niger

NER · Africa

22.1%22.1%782225202226,000,000Islam

Lebanon

LBN · Asia

21.5%21.5%78202515255,600,000Islam & Christianity

Somalia

SOM · Africa

21.4%21.4%802028182218,000,000Islam

Afghanistan

AFG · Asia

21.3%21.3%851235153041,000,000Islam

Central African Republic

CAF · Africa

19.9%19.9%80202515205,500,000Christianity (Protestant & Catholic)

Mali

MLI · Africa

19.5%19.5%802022181823,000,000Islam

Burkina Faso

BFA · Africa

17.6%17.6%8218201815

DR Congo

COD · Africa

17.5%17.5%8418221815

Myanmar

MMR · Asia

17.3%17.3%821818181555,000,000Buddhism

Syria

SYR · Asia

16.2%16.2%851222122022,000,000Islam

South Sudan

SSD · Africa

16.0%16.0%851520121811,000,000Christianity & Folk

Yemen

YEM · Asia

15.4%15.4%851220121834,000,000Islam

Haiti

HTI · North America

14.4%14.4%851515121511,700,000Christianity (Roman Catholic) & Vodou

Sudan

SDN · Africa

8.8%8.8%9281081049,000,000Islam

Palestine

PSE · Asia

5.8%5.8%9551055